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Skew Dashboard
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Below is a sample of our Skew dashboard.
Skew Calculations and Terms Glossary:
Based on the price of options, each stock has an Implied Volatility (IV). The Implied Volatility defines the one standard deviation move over a given period of time.
"Expected Move" is defined as a One Standard Deviation Move, derived from the stock's current Implied Volatility.
We measure skew two different ways.
Delta Skew: Call Deltas minus Put Delta for options that are one standard deviation out-of-the-money with ~ 30 days to expiration.
IV Skew: Put IV minus Call IV for options that are one standard deviation out-of-the-money with ~ 30 days to expiration.
Interpretation of Data:
A stock with a positive Delta Skew has option demand skewed toward calls.
A stock with a negative Delta Skew has option demand skewed toward puts.
Sentiment can be evaluated by comparing the Current Skew to the Average Skew using the historical skew charts.
Bollinger Band compression:
- Stocks will generally see their Bollinger Bands (parameters: 10 days & 2 std) compress while price consolidates prior to next breakout.
- Measurement of Bollinger Band width helps people see at a glance what stocks are currently in a compression phase to identify a more ideal time to buy options.
- High IV : BB Width --> Stock is moving less than usual with recent compression in daily price movement.
Implied Volatility Changes:
- Large changes in IV that are not accompanied by large price changes in the underlying are often a prelude to underlying price movements.
Skew Data Table Details
:
- Our data looks at all options with less than 94 days to expiration.
-
"1 Standard Deviation"
is calculated using an average of IVs around the At-The-Money strikes, and then converted to dollars of share price for the given period.